First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 09:00 • Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.23) 0.31 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 29.0% 8.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.0%
0 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelyabinsk 0 20.1% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.0% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelyabinskArsenal Tula
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack60%60%
Defense90%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelyabinsk Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
Played76137714
Wins71%17%46%14%29%21%
Draws29%50%38%71%29%50%
Loses0%33%15%14%43%29%

Form: Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWDWDD • Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDD

League goals

Metric Chelyabinsk Arsenal Tula
HATHAT
GF total1171812820
GF avg1.61.21.41.71.11.4
GA total281011718
GA avg0.31.30.81.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelyabinskArsenal Tula
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%54%86%93%
1.523%23%43%36%
2.523%0%14%0%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelyabinskArsenal Tula
HATHAT
Clean sheets516011
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricChelyabinskArsenal Tula
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChelyabinskArsenal Tula
Wins21
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-33-10-3
Biggest losses—2-11-22-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricChelyabinskArsenal Tula
Form75%25%
Att50%50%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total68.8%31.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chelyabinsk or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 188Bet
Draw3.22 @ 1xBet
Away3.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chelyabinsk = 1.30 (league 1.23), Arsenal Tula = 0.31 (league 1.06)

Arsenal Tula
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelyabinsk 0 20.1% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.0% 8.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1