First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 14:00 • KAMAZ Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.25) 1.15 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.7% 20.9% 20.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
KAMAZ 0 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.3% 9.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKAMAZRodina Moskva
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack67%67%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KAMAZ Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins50%38%43%63%17%43%
Draws33%38%36%25%50%36%
Loses17%25%21%13%33%21%

Form: KAMAZ: DWWLWWDWDLDLWD • Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDW

League goals

Metric KAMAZ Rodina Moskva
HATHAT
GF total12102214721
GF avg2.01.31.61.81.21.5
GA total69155813
GA avg1.01.11.10.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKAMAZRodina Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%79%50%
1.543%14%43%21%
2.521%7%14%14%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKAMAZRodina Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets112527
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricKAMAZRodina Moskva
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricKAMAZRodina Moskva
Wins24
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-01-5
Biggest losses1-23-01-34-0
Goals For5335
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricKAMAZRodina Moskva
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rodina Moskva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.64 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KAMAZ = 2.07 (league 1.25), Rodina Moskva = 1.15 (league 1.04)

Rodina Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
KAMAZ 0 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.3% 9.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 20.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1