First League — Russia
Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 15:00 • Chayka Central Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.23) 3.31 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.0% 10.2% 72.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.4%
0 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chayka 0 1.6% 5.2% 8.6% 9.4% 7.8% 5.2%
1 1.3% 4.4% 7.3% 8.0% 6.6% 4.4%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.1% 3.4% 2.8% 1.9%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChaykaUral
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack60%60%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chayka Ural
HATHAT
Played68147613
Wins0%25%14%57%50%54%
Draws33%38%36%29%17%23%
Loses67%38%50%14%33%23%

Form: Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDDW • Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLL

League goals

Metric Chayka Ural
HATHAT
GF total481213821
GF avg0.71.00.91.91.31.6
GA total1612286915
GA avg2.71.52.00.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChaykaUral
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%71%85%62%
1.521%50%46%31%
2.514%36%23%8%
3.50%29%8%8%
4.50%7%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChaykaUral
HATHAT
Clean sheets134325
Failed to score347112

Penalties

MetricChaykaUral
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChaykaUral
Wins14
Draws32
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-64-01-25-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against6425

Model comparison

MetricChaykaUral
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ural

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.90 @ 1xBet
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away1.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chayka = 0.85 (league 1.23), Ural = 3.31 (league 1.06)

Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chayka 0 1.6% 5.2% 8.6% 9.4% 7.8% 5.2%
1 1.3% 4.4% 7.3% 8.0% 6.6% 4.4%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.1% 3.4% 2.8% 1.9%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.0% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 72.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1