First League — Russia
Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 16:30 • Fakel Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.23) 0.25 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.1% 50.6% 13.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.2%
1 - 0
25.2%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 44.2% 10.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.2% 6.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFakelRotor Volgograd
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack40%50%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fakel Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins83%50%64%71%29%50%
Draws17%25%21%14%43%29%
Loses0%25%14%14%29%21%

Form: Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLDDWW • Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Fakel Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
GF total671311920
GF avg1.00.90.91.61.31.4
GA total178257
GA avg0.20.90.60.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFakelRotor Volgograd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%43%64%36%
1.514%14%36%14%
2.50%0%21%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFakelRotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Clean sheets538639
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricFakelRotor Volgograd
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFakelRotor Volgograd
Wins63
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-00-6
Biggest losses—2-01-22-0
Goals For2236
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricFakelRotor Volgograd
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fakel or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.92 @ 1xBet
Away4.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.78 @ 188Bet
No1.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fakel = 0.57 (league 1.23), Rotor Volgograd = 0.25 (league 1.05)

Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fakel 0 44.2% 10.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.2% 6.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.1% · Draw 50.6% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1