Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 00:15 • Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.06) 0.68 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 27.3% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
12.4%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
San Martin Tucuman
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 12.3% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 11.8% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 8.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Martin Tucuman
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack56%78%
Defense78%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Moron San Martin Tucuman
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins65%24%44%35%35%35%
Draws24%53%38%47%29%38%
Loses12%24%18%18%35%26%

Form: Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWDWLDWD • San Martin Tucuman: DWWDDDWWDWDWWLDWLDWLLWDLLDWDLLWLDD

League goals

Metric Deportivo Moron San Martin Tucuman
HATHAT
GF total251136171532
GF avg1.50.61.11.00.90.9
GA total81119121729
GA avg0.50.60.60.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MoronSan Martin Tucuman
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%50%68%56%
1.526%6%21%21%
2.59%0%3%9%
3.53%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Martin Tucuman
HATHAT
Clean sheets107177815
Failed to score38115611

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Martin Tucuman
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Martin Tucuman
Wins42
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-33-1
Goals For4242
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MoronSan Martin Tucuman
Form62%38%
Att42%58%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h25%75%
Goals17%83%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Moron or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Unibet
Away5.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.38 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.55 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Moron = 1.42 (league 1.06), San Martin Tucuman = 0.68 (league 0.67)

San Martin Tucuman
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 12.3% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 11.8% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 8.4% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 17.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1