Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 21:30 •
Gran Parque Central
Expected Goals
4.55 (league 1.19)
1.32 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.6%
5 - 1
6.0%
3 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Miramar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Nacional | 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Club Nacional | Miramar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 88% | 63% |
| Defense | 63% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Club Nacional | Miramar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 83% | 40% | 64% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Draws | 17% | 40% | 27% | 60% | 0% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 9% | 20% | 67% | 45% |
Form: Club Nacional: WLWDWWWWDWD • Miramar: WLLDWLWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Club Nacional | Miramar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Club Nacional | Miramar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 55% | 64% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 64% | 18% | 45% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 9% | 27% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Club Nacional | Miramar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Club Nacional | Miramar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Club Nacional | Miramar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Club Nacional | Miramar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 84% | 16% |
| Total | 70.4% | 29.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Club Nacional or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Club Nacional = 4.55 (league 1.19), Miramar = 1.32 (league 0.91)
| Miramar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Nacional | 0 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.2% · Draw 7.0% · Away win 5.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1