Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.19) 0.15 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.6% 9.4% 1.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
21.6%
3 - 0
18.6%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penarol 0 6.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.6% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.6% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenarolWanderers
Played55
Form73%7%
Attack100%30%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penarol Wanderers
HATHAT
Played65114711
Wins100%40%73%0%14%9%
Draws0%40%18%25%14%18%
Loses0%20%9%75%71%73%

Form: Penarol: WWLWWWDWWWD • Wanderers: LDLLWLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Penarol Wanderers
HATHAT
GF total111223055
GF avg1.82.42.10.00.70.5
GA total18941216
GA avg0.21.60.81.01.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenarolWanderers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%55%36%82%
1.573%27%9%55%
2.527%0%0%9%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenarolWanderers
HATHAT
Clean sheets505112
Failed to score000437

Penalties

MetricPenarolWanderers
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPenarolWanderers
Wins31
Draws11
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-40-1
Biggest losses2-10-23-0
Goals For3402
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricPenarolWanderers
Form92%8%
Att77%23%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution95%5%
H2h80%20%
Goals70%30%
Total80.2%19.8%

Advice: Winner : Penarol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ William Hill
Draw5.39 @ Pinnacle
Away11.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penarol = 2.58 (league 1.19), Wanderers = 0.15 (league 0.91)

Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penarol 0 6.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.8% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.6% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.6% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.6% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 1.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1