Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Osvaldo Roberto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.18) 0.43 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.4% 57.6% 30.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
52.8%
0 - 1
23.0%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Juventud
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Montevideo 0 52.8% 23.0% 5.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRacing MontevideoJuventud
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack29%6%
Defense71%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

45%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

47%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Racing Montevideo Juventud
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%40%27%33%20%27%
Draws33%20%27%17%20%18%
Loses50%40%45%50%60%55%

Form: Racing Montevideo: WWLLLLDWDLD • Juventud: LLWWWLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Racing Montevideo Juventud
HATHAT
GF total279426
GF avg0.31.40.80.70.40.5
GA total612186410
GA avg1.02.41.61.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRacing MontevideoJuventud
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%73%45%64%
1.527%45%9%27%
2.59%27%0%0%
3.50%18%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRacing MontevideoJuventud
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score426336

Penalties

MetricRacing MontevideoJuventud
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRacing MontevideoJuventud
Wins23
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-32-10-1
Biggest losses1-44-00-22-1
Goals For1321
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricRacing MontevideoJuventud
Form75%25%
Att83%17%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Racing Montevideo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Racing Montevideo = 0.20 (league 1.18), Juventud = 0.43 (league 0.92)

Juventud
0 1 2 3 4 5
Racing Montevideo 0 52.8% 23.0% 5.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.7% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 57.6% · Away win 30.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1