Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.45) 0.76 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.4% 12.4% 7.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
3 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cultural Santa Rosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.6% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.5% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.5% 5.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CristalCultural Santa Rosa
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack60%40%
Defense60%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting Cristal Cultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
Played161632141630
Wins75%31%53%57%19%37%
Draws13%25%19%29%25%27%
Loses13%44%28%14%56%37%

Form: Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDDWLWL • Cultural Santa Rosa: DDLDWDLLDWWDLLWWDDLWLWWLWLLWLW

League goals

Metric Sporting Cristal Cultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
GF total352055251439
GF avg2.21.31.71.80.91.3
GA total122234183149
GA avg0.81.41.11.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CristalCultural Santa Rosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%59%73%90%
1.553%31%40%43%
2.525%13%17%20%
3.59%3%0%3%
4.56%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CristalCultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513213
Failed to score257178

Penalties

MetricSporting CristalCultural Santa Rosa
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total86

Streaks

MetricSporting CristalCultural Santa Rosa
Wins42
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-43-11-2
Biggest losses1-24-11-36-1
Goals For5433
Goals Against2436

Model comparison

MetricSporting CristalCultural Santa Rosa
Form54%46%
Att60%40%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting Cristal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ 1xBet
Draw7.32 @ Pinnacle
Away14.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting Cristal = 2.88 (league 1.45), Cultural Santa Rosa = 0.76 (league 0.95)

Cultural Santa Rosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting Cristal 0 2.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.6% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.9% 8.3% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.5% 7.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.5% 5.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.4% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 7.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1