Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 18:15 • Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.45) 1.26 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 25.8% 33.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Universidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
UTC 0 6.8% 8.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.2% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUTCAlianza Universidad
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack42%50%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UTC Alianza Universidad
HATHAT
Played161632151631
Wins25%19%22%20%19%19%
Draws25%25%25%27%13%19%
Loses50%56%53%53%69%61%

Form: UTC: LLDDLWWLLWLWLLWDLDLDLLDDLLLDWLLW • Alianza Universidad: DLLLDLLWDLLLDDLLWLLLWLDWWLLLLWL

League goals

Metric UTC Alianza Universidad
HATHAT
GF total141428151631
GF avg0.90.90.91.01.01.0
GA total193352233659
GA avg1.22.11.61.52.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUTCAlianza Universidad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%72%65%84%
1.525%47%32%58%
2.53%19%3%32%
3.53%13%0%13%
4.50%6%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUTCAlianza Universidad
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score86146511

Penalties

MetricUTCAlianza Universidad
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricUTCAlianza Universidad
Wins22
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-00-3
Biggest losses0-46-00-35-1
Goals For4223
Goals Against4635

Model comparison

MetricUTCAlianza Universidad
Form70%30%
Att45%55%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : UTC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UTC = 1.43 (league 1.45), Alianza Universidad = 1.26 (league 0.95)

Alianza Universidad
0 1 2 3 4 5
UTC 0 6.8% 8.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.2% 7.7% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.7% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 33.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1