Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.46) 0.82 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 25.4% 19.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
FBC Melgar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 9.2% 7.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza LimaFBC Melgar
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack75%50%
Defense42%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Lima FBC Melgar
HATHAT
Played161632171734
Wins63%50%56%59%24%41%
Draws25%19%22%18%59%38%
Loses13%31%22%24%18%21%

Form: Alianza Lima: WLWWWLDWWLDWWDWWWDLDWDWWDLWLWLWW • FBC Melgar: WWWWWWLLDDWDDWDLDDWLDDLWDLDWDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Alianza Lima FBC Melgar
HATHAT
GF total311546311950
GF avg1.90.91.41.81.11.5
GA total111627152035
GA avg0.71.00.80.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza LimaFBC Melgar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%53%82%76%
1.538%19%41%21%
2.519%9%12%3%
3.56%3%6%3%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza LimaFBC Melgar
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715538
Failed to score347246

Penalties

MetricAlianza LimaFBC Melgar
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total92

Streaks

MetricAlianza LimaFBC Melgar
Wins36
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-26-12-3
Biggest losses3-43-00-24-1
Goals For5263
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricAlianza LimaFBC Melgar
Form47%53%
Att60%40%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Alianza Lima = 1.56 (league 1.46), FBC Melgar = 0.82 (league 0.94)

FBC Melgar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 9.2% 7.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% Ā· Draw 25.4% Ā· Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1