Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.45) 1.51 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 25.8% 47.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Cristal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Comerciantes Unidos 0 7.7% 11.6% 8.7% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.1% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricComerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack40%40%
Defense80%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Comerciantes Unidos Sporting Cristal
HATHAT
Played161632171633
Wins25%25%25%71%31%52%
Draws44%13%28%12%25%18%
Loses31%63%47%18%44%30%

Form: Comerciantes Unidos: DLDLDWLLDDLLLLWLLLLDLDWLWWLDWDWW • Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Comerciantes Unidos Sporting Cristal
HATHAT
GF total171633352055
GF avg1.11.01.02.11.31.7
GA total183048132235
GA avg1.11.91.50.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineComerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%78%76%61%
1.528%41%52%30%
2.53%22%24%12%
3.50%9%9%3%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricComerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal
HATHAT
Clean sheets4378513
Failed to score459358

Penalties

MetricComerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total48

Streaks

MetricComerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal
Wins24
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-44-01-24-1
Goals For3254
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricComerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal
Form65%35%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total46.2%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting Cristal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Comerciantes Unidos = 1.06 (league 1.45), Sporting Cristal = 1.51 (league 0.95)

Sporting Cristal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Comerciantes Unidos 0 7.7% 11.6% 8.7% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.1% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 47.0%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1