Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Heraclio Tapia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.45) 2.37 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 17.0% 68.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.5%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Cusco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Universidad 0 4.1% 9.7% 11.5% 9.1% 5.4% 2.5%
1 3.4% 8.0% 9.5% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza UniversidadCusco
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack62%69%
Defense0%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Universidad Cusco
HATHAT
Played151732171633
Wins20%18%19%65%56%61%
Draws27%12%19%24%13%18%
Loses53%71%63%12%31%21%

Form: Alianza Universidad: DLLLDLLWDLLLDDLLWLLLWLDWWLLLLWLL • Cusco: LLWDWWLWLWWDWDDWWWWWWWWDWWLLWLDWW

League goals

Metric Alianza Universidad Cusco
HATHAT
GF total151833342458
GF avg1.01.11.02.01.51.8
GA total233962131932
GA avg1.52.31.90.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza UniversidadCusco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%84%79%61%
1.534%59%58%27%
2.53%34%27%9%
3.50%13%12%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza UniversidadCusco
HATHAT
Clean sheets3259413
Failed to score6511347

Penalties

MetricAlianza UniversidadCusco
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricAlianza UniversidadCusco
Wins28
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-02-4
Biggest losses0-35-10-23-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricAlianza UniversidadCusco
Form23%77%
Att47%53%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%63%
Total32.5%67.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cusco

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.73 @ 188Bet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Universidad = 0.83 (league 1.45), Cusco = 2.37 (league 0.95)

Cusco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Universidad 0 4.1% 9.7% 11.5% 9.1% 5.4% 2.5%
1 3.4% 8.0% 9.5% 7.5% 4.4% 2.1%
2 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 3.1% 1.8% 0.9%
3 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 68.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1