Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.56) 0.96 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 15.8% 11.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rancho Santana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.4% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal EstelíRancho Santana
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack44%50%
Defense63%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Estelí Rancho Santana
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins67%40%55%20%33%27%
Draws33%40%36%0%17%9%
Loses0%20%9%80%50%64%

Form: Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDD • Rancho Santana: LLDLLLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Real Estelí Rancho Santana
HATHAT
GF total97165813
GF avg1.51.41.51.01.31.2
GA total4610141630
GA avg0.71.20.92.82.72.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal EstelíRancho Santana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%64%73%91%
1.536%18%27%55%
2.518%9%9%27%
3.59%0%9%27%
4.50%0%0%27%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal EstelíRancho Santana
HATHAT
Clean sheets314011
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricReal EstelíRancho Santana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricReal EstelíRancho Santana
Wins32
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-32-11-4
Biggest losses3-11-86-0
Goals For4324
Goals Against2386

Model comparison

MetricReal EstelíRancho Santana
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h80%20%
Goals78%22%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Real Estelí or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ Betfair
Draw8.00 @ Unibet
Away13.50 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Estelí = 2.60 (league 1.56), Rancho Santana = 0.96 (league 0.94)

Rancho Santana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.4% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.3% 8.0% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 11.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1