Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 19:00 • Parque Capurro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.05) 1.19 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.6% 28.9% 39.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tacuarembo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fenix 0 10.9% 12.9% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFenixTacuarembo
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack27%33%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fenix Tacuarembo
HATHAT
Played141529161430
Wins29%47%38%63%21%43%
Draws21%27%24%38%36%37%
Loses50%27%38%0%43%20%

Form: Fenix: LLLLWWDWLWLDWWDDDWLWLLWWWLDLD • Tacuarembo: DWDWWWWLWLWWWWDWDDLWDLDDDLDDLW

League goals

Metric Fenix Tacuarembo
HATHAT
GF total131629211132
GF avg0.91.11.01.30.81.1
GA total19113071724
GA avg1.40.71.00.41.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFenixTacuarembo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%62%77%60%
1.534%34%27%17%
2.57%7%3%3%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFenixTacuarembo
HATHAT
Clean sheets381110212
Failed to score6612257

Penalties

MetricFenixTacuarembo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricFenixTacuarembo
Wins34
Draws33
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-32-0—3-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricFenixTacuarembo
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Unibet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fenix = 1.03 (league 1.05), Tacuarembo = 1.19 (league 0.94)

Tacuarembo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fenix 0 10.9% 12.9% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.8% 6.9% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 39.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1