Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.39 (league 1.47) 1.25 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 12.1% 9.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 1
6.9%
4 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Timon MA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luminense 0 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.5% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuminenseTimon MA
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense86%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luminense Timon MA
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%0%50%20%
Draws0%67%40%67%50%60%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Luminense: DWWWD • Timon MA: DDWLD

League goals

Metric Luminense Timon MA
HATHAT
GF total549257
GF avg2.51.31.80.72.51.4
GA total101347
GA avg0.50.00.21.02.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuminenseTimon MA
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%20%80%80%
1.560%0%40%40%
2.540%0%20%20%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuminenseTimon MA
HATHAT
Clean sheets134101
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricLuminenseTimon MA
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLuminenseTimon MA
Wins31
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-4—1-2
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For3413
Goals Against1023

Model comparison

MetricLuminenseTimon MA
Form65%35%
Att56%44%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total66.8%33.4%

Advice: Double chance : Luminense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.07 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 1xBet
No1.89 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luminense = 3.39 (league 1.47), Timon MA = 1.25 (league 1.00)

Timon MA
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luminense 0 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
2 5.5% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.3% 7.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.3% 6.6% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.6% 4.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 9.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1