Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.56 (league 1.47) 3.75 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 14.0% 29.3%
best score tips
3 - 3
4.4%
3 - 4
4.1%
4 - 3
3.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tupan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lago Verde 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
1 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6%
3 0.5% 1.9% 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 3.1%
4 0.4% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 2.8%
5 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 2.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLago VerdeTupan
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack100%86%
Defense43%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lago Verde Tupan
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%100%80%0%50%20%
Draws50%0%20%67%0%40%
Loses0%0%0%33%50%40%

Form: Lago Verde: DWWWW • Tupan: DWDLL

League goals

Metric Lago Verde Tupan
HATHAT
GF total7613156
GF avg3.52.02.60.32.51.2
GA total314437
GA avg1.50.30.81.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLago VerdeTupan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%60%80%
1.580%20%20%40%
2.560%20%20%20%
3.520%0%20%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLago VerdeTupan
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricLago VerdeTupan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLago VerdeTupan
Wins01
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-3—1-4
Biggest losses——0-32-1
Goals For4314
Goals Against3132

Model comparison

MetricLago VerdeTupan
Form72%28%
Att68%32%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total63.8%36.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lago Verde or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lago Verde = 3.56 (league 1.47), Tupan = 3.75 (league 1.00)

Tupan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lago Verde 0 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4%
1 0.2% 0.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5%
2 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6%
3 0.5% 1.9% 3.5% 4.4% 4.1% 3.1%
4 0.4% 1.7% 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 2.8%
5 0.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 2.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 14.0% · Away win 29.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1