Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Los Chankas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.45) 1.14 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.6% 28.3% 34.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.6%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Lima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cultural Santa Rosa 0 9.9% 11.3% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.2% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCultural Santa RosaAlianza Lima
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack36%71%
Defense86%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cultural Santa Rosa Alianza Lima
HATHAT
Played151732171633
Wins60%24%41%59%50%55%
Draws27%24%25%29%19%24%
Loses13%53%34%12%31%21%

Form: Cultural Santa Rosa: DDLDWDLLDWWDLLWWDDLWLWWLWLLWLWWW • Alianza Lima: WLWWWLDWWLDWWDWWWDLDWDWWDLWLWLWWD

League goals

Metric Cultural Santa Rosa Alianza Lima
HATHAT
GF total261541331548
GF avg1.70.91.31.90.91.5
GA total183149131629
GA avg1.21.81.50.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCultural Santa RosaAlianza Lima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%84%79%55%
1.538%41%39%21%
2.516%19%18%9%
3.50%3%6%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCultural Santa RosaAlianza Lima
HATHAT
Clean sheets3258715
Failed to score178347

Penalties

MetricCultural Santa RosaAlianza Lima
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total69

Streaks

MetricCultural Santa RosaAlianza Lima
Wins23
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-25-11-2
Biggest losses1-36-13-43-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against3643

Model comparison

MetricCultural Santa RosaAlianza Lima
Form55%45%
Att33%67%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza Lima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away2.07 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cultural Santa Rosa = 1.17 (league 1.45), Alianza Lima = 1.14 (league 0.95)

Alianza Lima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cultural Santa Rosa 0 9.9% 11.3% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.2% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.6% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 34.9%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1