Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 05:30 • Lakeside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.16 (league 1.90) 4.30 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 12.8% 34.3%
best score tips
3 - 4
4.3%
2 - 4
4.1%
3 - 3
4.0%
Score & goals probability table
Moreton City Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
South Melbourne 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
1 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 2.2%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.7% 3.8% 4.1% 3.5%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.7%
4 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 2.9%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouth MelbourneMoreton City Excelsior
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack14%14%
Defense90%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 33 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 22 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

100%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric South Melbourne Moreton City Excelsior
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: South Melbourne: W • Moreton City Excelsior: W

League goals

Metric South Melbourne Moreton City Excelsior
HATHAT
GF total303033
GF avg3.00.03.00.03.03.0
GA total202022
GA avg2.00.02.00.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouth MelbourneMoreton City Excelsior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%100%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouth MelbourneMoreton City Excelsior
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSouth MelbourneMoreton City Excelsior
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSouth MelbourneMoreton City Excelsior
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2——2-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For3003
Goals Against2002

Model comparison

MetricSouth MelbourneMoreton City Excelsior
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Dafabet
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): South Melbourne = 3.16 (league 1.90), Moreton City Excelsior = 4.30 (league 1.40)

Moreton City Excelsior
0 1 2 3 4 5
South Melbourne 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
1 0.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 2.2%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.7% 3.8% 4.1% 3.5%
3 0.3% 1.3% 2.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.7%
4 0.2% 1.0% 2.2% 3.2% 3.4% 2.9%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 34.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1