Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 04:15 • Lakeside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.63 (league 1.89) 1.42 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.3% 7.2% 5.4%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.4%
5 - 1
5.9%
3 - 1
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Broadmeadow Magic
0 1 2 3 4 5
South Melbourne 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 5.6% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
5 4.2% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouth MelbourneBroadmeadow Magic
Played44
Form100%25%
Attack35%26%
Defense87%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.811 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric South Melbourne Broadmeadow Magic
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%100%100%0%50%25%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%50%75%

Form: South Melbourne: WWWW • Broadmeadow Magic: LWLL

League goals

Metric South Melbourne Broadmeadow Magic
HATHAT
GF total538246
GF avg2.51.52.01.02.01.5
GA total2134711
GA avg1.00.50.82.03.52.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouth MelbourneBroadmeadow Magic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%75%100%
1.575%25%50%75%
2.525%0%25%50%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouth MelbourneBroadmeadow Magic
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricSouth MelbourneBroadmeadow Magic
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSouth MelbourneBroadmeadow Magic
Wins41
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-2—2-3
Biggest losses——2-35-1
Goals For3223
Goals Against2135

Model comparison

MetricSouth MelbourneBroadmeadow Magic
Form80%20%
Att57%43%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total73.3%26.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : South Melbourne and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ William Hill
Draw5.50 @ Bet365
Away14.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): South Melbourne = 4.63 (league 1.89), Broadmeadow Magic = 1.42 (league 1.41)

Broadmeadow Magic
0 1 2 3 4 5
South Melbourne 0 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 5.6% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
5 4.2% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.3% · Draw 7.2% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1