Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 08:35 • Perry Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.88) 1.62 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.3% 24.7% 56.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 2
11.7%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
South Melbourne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreton City Excelsior 0 8.9% 14.4% 11.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.5% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moreton City Excelsior South Melbourne
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%100%100%100%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%40%0%0%0%

Form: Moreton City Excelsior: WLLWD • South Melbourne: WWWWW

League goals

Metric Moreton City Excelsior South Melbourne
HATHAT
GF total66127310
GF avg3.02.02.42.31.52.0
GA total3710213
GA avg1.52.32.00.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%100%40%
1.560%80%80%20%
2.560%20%20%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
Wins15
Draws00
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-22-0——
Goals For5332
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
Form32%68%
Att55%45%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or South Melbourne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.49 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Moreton City Excelsior = 0.80 (league 1.88), South Melbourne = 1.62 (league 1.39)

South Melbourne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreton City Excelsior 0 8.9% 14.4% 11.7% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.1% 11.5% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.7%
2 2.8% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 56.3%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1