Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 08:30 • Perry Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.82) 4.43 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.4% 12.4% 32.4%
best score tips
3 - 4
4.2%
2 - 4
3.9%
3 - 3
3.8%
Score & goals probability table
South Melbourne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreton City Excelsior 0 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.4% 3.5% 3.9% 3.4%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 3.7%
4 0.2% 1.0% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.1%
5 0.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack19%19%
Defense88%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 33 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 22 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moreton City Excelsior South Melbourne
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%

Form: Moreton City Excelsior: W • South Melbourne: W

League goals

Metric Moreton City Excelsior South Melbourne
HATHAT
GF total033303
GF avg0.03.03.03.00.03.0
GA total022202
GA avg0.02.02.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%100%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-33-2
Biggest losses
Goals For0330
Goals Against0220

Model comparison

MetricMoreton City ExcelsiorSouth Melbourne
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: No predictions available

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moreton City Excelsior = 3.29 (league 1.82), South Melbourne = 4.43 (league 1.35)

South Melbourne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreton City Excelsior 0 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
1 0.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.1%
2 0.2% 1.1% 2.4% 3.5% 3.9% 3.4%
3 0.3% 1.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 3.7%
4 0.2% 1.0% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.1%
5 0.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1