Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 08:35 •
Perry Park
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.91)
1.72 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 23.5% | 58.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| South Melbourne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moreton City Excelsior | 0 | 8.2% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Moreton City ExcelsiorWLLWD
South MelbourneWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moreton City Excelsior | South Melbourne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 100% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 80% | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | South Melbourne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moreton City Excelsior | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away2.20 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.49 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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