Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.61)
1.04 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.2% | 21.2% | 18.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
10.0%
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| UCV Moquegua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Comercio | 0 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Union Comercio | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 92% | 77% |
| Defense | 69% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Union Comercio | UCV Moquegua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 82% | 45% | 64% | 62% | 27% | 46% |
| Draws | 9% | 9% | 9% | 15% | 55% | 33% |
| Loses | 9% | 45% | 27% | 23% | 18% | 21% |
Form: Union Comercio: WDLWWWLWLWLWLDWWWWWWLW • UCV Moquegua: DLWLWWWWDWDWLDDWLWDDLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Union Comercio | UCV Moquegua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 17 | 42 | 22 | 14 | 36 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 8 | 15 | 23 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Union Comercio | UCV Moquegua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 68% | 88% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 27% | 38% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 9% | 13% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Union Comercio | UCV Moquegua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Union Comercio | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Union Comercio | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 6-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Union Comercio | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Union Comercio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Union Comercio = 2.01 (league 1.61), UCV Moquegua = 1.04 (league 0.88)
| UCV Moquegua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Union Comercio | 0 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 18.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1