First League — Russia
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 16:30 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.23) 1.96 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.9% 21.4% 41.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 2.4% 4.6% 4.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
1 4.2% 8.2% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaUral
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack58%50%
Defense33%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula Ural
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins14%25%20%57%57%57%
Draws71%38%53%29%14%21%
Loses14%38%27%14%29%21%

Form: Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDD • Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLLW

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula Ural
HATHAT
GF total12102213922
GF avg1.71.31.51.91.31.6
GA total119206915
GA avg1.61.11.30.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaUral
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%93%86%57%
1.547%40%43%29%
2.513%0%21%7%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaUral
HATHAT
Clean sheets011336
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaUral
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaUral
Wins14
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-11-25-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaUral
Form36%64%
Att54%46%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ural

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.30 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 1.79 (league 1.23), Ural = 1.96 (league 1.06)

Ural
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 2.4% 4.6% 4.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6%
1 4.2% 8.2% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.0% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 41.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1