First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Centralnyy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.26) 1.49 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 24.6% 38.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
8.5%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 5.3% 8.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.7% 11.5% 8.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChernomoretsChelyabinsk
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack43%50%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chernomorets Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
Played78158614
Wins43%13%27%63%17%43%
Draws14%38%27%38%50%43%
Loses43%50%47%0%33%14%

Form: Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLWWLD • Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWDWDDD

League goals

Metric Chernomorets Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
GF total1091913720
GF avg1.41.11.31.61.21.4
GA total911204812
GA avg1.31.41.30.51.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChernomoretsChelyabinsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%93%86%57%
1.527%33%29%29%
2.520%7%21%0%
3.513%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChernomoretsChelyabinsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets101516
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricChernomoretsChelyabinsk
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChernomoretsChelyabinsk
Wins22
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-02-3
Biggest losses0-22-0—2-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricChernomoretsChelyabinsk
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelyabinsk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.11 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chernomorets = 1.44 (league 1.26), Chelyabinsk = 1.49 (league 1.05)

Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 5.3% 8.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.7% 11.5% 8.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 38.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1