First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Shinnik
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.26) 1.20 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 30.6% 49.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.0%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Kostroma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 15.8% 19.0% 11.4% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.2% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack21%43%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Spartak Kostroma
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins43%13%27%29%75%53%
Draws14%63%40%57%13%33%
Loses43%25%33%14%13%13%

Form: Shinnik Yaroslavl: LDLLWDWDWDDWLLD • Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDDDL

League goals

Metric Shinnik Yaroslavl Spartak Kostroma
HATHAT
GF total641081422
GF avg0.90.50.71.11.81.5
GA total56117714
GA avg0.70.80.71.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%53%80%87%
1.520%13%47%7%
2.50%7%13%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
HATHAT
Clean sheets347022
Failed to score358123

Penalties

MetricShinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricShinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
Wins14
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-12-4
Biggest losses0-23-10-11-0
Goals For2224
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricShinnik YaroslavlSpartak Kostroma
Form45%55%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.8%58.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Spartak Kostroma and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 1xBet
Away2.60 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shinnik Yaroslavl = 0.64 (league 1.26), Spartak Kostroma = 1.20 (league 1.05)

Spartak Kostroma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shinnik Yaroslavl 0 15.8% 19.0% 11.4% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.2% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 49.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1