First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:00 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.23) 1.52 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 25.6% 46.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 7.3% 11.1% 8.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChayka
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack31%38%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torpedo Moskva Chayka
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins14%13%13%0%25%13%
Draws29%38%33%29%38%33%
Loses57%50%53%71%38%53%

Form: Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLWLDD • Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDDWL

League goals

Metric Torpedo Moskva Chayka
HATHAT
GF total64104812
GF avg0.90.50.70.61.00.8
GA total111122171229
GA avg1.61.41.52.41.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorpedo MoskvaChayka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%67%47%73%
1.520%40%20%47%
2.50%33%13%33%
3.50%7%0%27%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChayka
HATHAT
Clean sheets325134
Failed to score358448

Penalties

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChayka
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChayka
Wins11
Draws23
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-1—0-3
Biggest losses1-43-00-64-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against4364

Model comparison

MetricTorpedo MoskvaChayka
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chayka

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.43 @ Superbet
Draw4.86 @ Pinnacle
Away8.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Superbet
No1.59 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torpedo Moskva = 1.10 (league 1.23), Chayka = 1.52 (league 1.05)

Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torpedo Moskva 0 7.3% 11.1% 8.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 46.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1