First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:00 • Arena Khimki
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.23) 0.62 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.7% 24.5% 14.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 10.7% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.2% 10.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodina MoskvaRotor Volgograd
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack43%14%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodina Moskva Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins63%29%47%71%25%47%
Draws25%43%33%14%38%27%
Loses13%29%20%14%38%27%

Form: Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWDWW • Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWWDLDWL

League goals

Metric Rodina Moskva Rotor Volgograd
HATHAT
GF total1492311920
GF avg1.81.31.51.61.11.3
GA total59142911
GA avg0.61.30.90.31.10.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodina MoskvaRotor Volgograd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%53%60%40%
1.547%20%33%20%
2.513%13%20%7%
3.57%7%7%7%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodina MoskvaRotor Volgograd
HATHAT
Clean sheets527639
Failed to score033156

Penalties

MetricRodina MoskvaRotor Volgograd
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricRodina MoskvaRotor Volgograd
Wins43
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-00-6
Biggest losses1-34-01-24-0
Goals For3536
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricRodina MoskvaRotor Volgograd
Form67%33%
Att75%25%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rodina Moskva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ 1xBet
Away4.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Marathonbet
No1.53 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodina Moskva = 1.61 (league 1.23), Rotor Volgograd = 0.62 (league 1.06)

Rotor Volgograd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 10.7% 6.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.2% 10.8% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.7% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1