First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 05:00 • Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.22) 0.68 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 36.8% 27.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.5%
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ska-khabarovsk 0 22.5% 15.3% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.4% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSka-khabarovskFakel
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack67%89%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ska-khabarovsk Fakel
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins38%29%33%86%50%67%
Draws50%14%33%14%25%20%
Loses13%57%33%0%25%13%

Form: Ska-khabarovsk: DWWDLLDLLDWWWLD • Fakel: WWWWWWLDWLDDWWW

League goals

Metric Ska-khabarovsk Fakel
HATHAT
GF total961510717
GF avg1.10.91.01.40.91.1
GA total61016178
GA avg0.81.41.10.10.90.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSka-khabarovskFakel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%80%80%40%
1.520%20%20%13%
2.57%7%7%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSka-khabarovskFakel
HATHAT
Clean sheets303639
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricSka-khabarovskFakel
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSka-khabarovskFakel
Wins36
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-1—2-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricSka-khabarovskFakel
Form48%52%
Att43%57%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fakel and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.08 @ 1xBet
Away2.34 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ska-khabarovsk = 0.81 (league 1.22), Fakel = 0.68 (league 1.06)

Fakel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ska-khabarovsk 0 22.5% 15.3% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.4% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 36.8% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1