Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.06) 0.30 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.5% 25.7% 7.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.1%
2 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atlanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 17.3% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 5.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MoronAtlanta
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack57%86%
Defense71%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Moron Atlanta
HATHAT
Played181735181735
Wins61%24%43%72%12%43%
Draws28%53%40%17%59%37%
Loses11%24%17%11%29%20%

Form: Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWDWLDWDD • Atlanta: WDDDWWDWDWWDLWDWWDLDWLLWLDDWDWLWDLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Moron Atlanta
HATHAT
GF total25113626834
GF avg1.40.61.01.40.51.0
GA total81119101828
GA avg0.40.60.50.61.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MoronAtlanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%49%63%46%
1.526%6%23%23%
2.59%0%9%9%
3.53%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MoronAtlanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets1171811819
Failed to score481231013

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MoronAtlanta
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MoronAtlanta
Wins42
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-00-1
Biggest losses0-22-10-34-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MoronAtlanta
Form46%54%
Att40%60%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h38%62%
Goals56%44%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Moron or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ Unibet
Draw2.91 @ 188Bet
Away4.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.72 @ 188Bet
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Moron = 1.46 (league 1.06), Atlanta = 0.30 (league 0.67)

Atlanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Moron 0 17.3% 5.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.1% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 5.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.9% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.5% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 7.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1