Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 16:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.06) 0.54 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 38.9% 22.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.3%
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 1
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlanta 0 26.3% 14.2% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.9% 11.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Moron
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlanta Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
Played181836191736
Wins72%11%42%63%24%44%
Draws17%56%36%26%53%39%
Loses11%33%22%11%24%17%

Form: Atlanta: WDDDWWDWDWWDLWDWWDLDWLLWLDDWDWLWDLWL • Deportivo Moron: DWLDLDDWLWWWWDDWWWDDDWLDWLWWDWLDWDDW

League goals

Metric Atlanta Deportivo Moron
HATHAT
GF total26834261137
GF avg1.40.40.91.40.61.0
GA total10192981119
GA avg0.61.10.80.40.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlantaDeportivo Moron
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%47%67%47%
1.522%22%25%6%
2.58%8%8%0%
3.53%3%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Moron
HATHAT
Clean sheets1181912719
Failed to score311144812

Penalties

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Moron
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Moron
Wins24
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-01-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-22-1
Goals For4242
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricAtlantaDeportivo Moron
Form44%56%
Att55%45%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Moron and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.71 @ 188Bet
Away4.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.77 @ 188Bet
No1.44 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlanta = 0.79 (league 1.06), Deportivo Moron = 0.54 (league 0.67)

Deportivo Moron
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlanta 0 26.3% 14.2% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.9% 11.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1