Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.92 (league 1.25) 0.67 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.1% 11.5% 5.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
11.4%
4 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real Espana
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Marathon 0 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCD MarathonReal Espana
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack43%33%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CD Marathon Real Espana
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins80%29%50%57%20%42%
Draws20%57%42%14%40%25%
Loses0%14%8%29%40%33%

Form: CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDW • Real Espana: WLWWDLLLDWDW

League goals

Metric CD Marathon Real Espana
HATHAT
GF total13132610818
GF avg2.61.92.21.41.61.5
GA total29117714
GA avg0.41.30.91.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCD MarathonReal Espana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%58%83%67%
1.558%25%42%33%
2.533%8%17%17%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCD MarathonReal Espana
HATHAT
Clean sheets415314
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricCD MarathonReal Espana
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricCD MarathonReal Espana
Wins22
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-34-10-3
Biggest losses—1-01-33-2
Goals For7343
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricCD MarathonReal Espana
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : CD Marathon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CD Marathon = 2.92 (league 1.25), Real Espana = 0.67 (league 0.95)

Real Espana
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Marathon 0 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.0% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.9% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.3% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.1% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 5.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1