Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Carlos Miranda
Halftime
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.25) 2.98 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 15.0% 62.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.9%
1 - 3
7.8%
1 - 4
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Génesis 0 1.3% 3.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.3% 2.6%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.9% 7.8% 5.8% 3.5%
2 1.2% 3.6% 5.3% 5.3% 4.0% 2.4%
3 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGénesisCD Marathon
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack62%62%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Génesis CD Marathon
HATHAT
Played66126713
Wins33%0%17%67%29%46%
Draws33%17%25%33%57%46%
Loses33%83%58%0%14%8%

Form: Génesis: LWLLLWLDDDLL • CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDWD

League goals

Metric Génesis CD Marathon
HATHAT
GF total8816131326
GF avg1.31.31.32.21.92.0
GA total913222911
GA avg1.52.21.80.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGénesisCD Marathon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%92%85%54%
1.533%50%54%23%
2.58%33%31%8%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGénesisCD Marathon
HATHAT
Clean sheets101516
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricGénesisCD Marathon
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricGénesisCD Marathon
Wins12
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-17-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-31-0
Goals For2373
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricGénesisCD Marathon
Form25%75%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total34.2%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CD Marathon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.12 @ 1xBet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away1.70 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Génesis = 1.35 (league 1.25), CD Marathon = 2.98 (league 0.96)

CD Marathon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Génesis 0 1.3% 3.9% 5.8% 5.8% 4.3% 2.6%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.9% 7.8% 5.8% 3.5%
2 1.2% 3.6% 5.3% 5.3% 4.0% 2.4%
3 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 62.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1