Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.47) 0.21 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.1% 12.5% 2.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
21.5%
1 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sao Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luminense 0 8.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.6% 3.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.5% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.5% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack47%59%
Defense88%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luminense Sao Luis
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%25%57%100%0%57%
Draws0%50%29%0%33%14%
Loses0%25%14%0%67%29%

Form: Luminense: DWWWDWL • Sao Luis: WDWLLWW

League goals

Metric Luminense Sao Luis
HATHAT
GF total641015217
GF avg2.01.01.43.80.72.4
GA total112156
GA avg0.30.30.30.31.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuminenseSao Luis
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%29%86%57%
1.543%0%43%14%
2.529%0%43%14%
3.514%0%29%0%
4.50%0%29%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
HATHAT
Clean sheets235303
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
Wins31
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-46-0—
Biggest losses—1-0—3-1
Goals For3461
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricLuminenseSao Luis
Form53%47%
Att44%56%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Luminense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luminense = 2.31 (league 1.47), Sao Luis = 0.21 (league 1.00)

Sao Luis
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luminense 0 8.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.6% 3.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.5% 4.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.5% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.1% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1