Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.01) 1.28 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.2% 27.4% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ponte Preta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Londrina 0 8.8% 11.2% 7.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLondrinaPonte Preta
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack40%60%
Defense80%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Londrina Ponte Preta
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins31%50%40%62%58%60%
Draws62%17%40%23%8%16%
Loses8%33%20%15%33%24%

Form: Londrina: WWDDDWDLWWDLWWLLWDLDDDWWD • Ponte Preta: DWWWWLWLDWWLWLDLWWWWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Londrina Ponte Preta
HATHAT
GF total171633141327
GF avg1.31.31.31.11.11.1
GA total12112381119
GA avg0.90.90.90.60.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLondrinaPonte Preta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%68%88%48%
1.540%16%20%20%
2.512%4%0%4%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLondrinaPonte Preta
HATHAT
Clean sheets2688513
Failed to score246213

Penalties

MetricLondrinaPonte Preta
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLondrinaPonte Preta
Wins26
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-42-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-21-42-0
Goals For3422
Goals Against2442

Model comparison

MetricLondrinaPonte Preta
Form47%53%
Att40%60%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ponte Preta and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Londrina = 1.15 (league 1.01), Ponte Preta = 1.28 (league 0.77)

Ponte Preta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Londrina 0 8.8% 11.2% 7.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.1% 13.0% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.8% 7.5% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.2% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 39.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1