Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.31) 0.41 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 29.3% 11.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
San Martin Formosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Costa Brava 0 18.2% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 9.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosta BravaSan Martin Formosa
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack75%63%
Defense25%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Costa Brava San Martin Formosa
HATHAT
Played131326141428
Wins62%15%38%71%21%46%
Draws38%46%42%21%43%32%
Loses0%38%19%7%36%21%

Form: Costa Brava: DDWDDLWWDWWWDWLWWDDLDLWLDD • San Martin Formosa: WWLDDDWWWDWDWDWDLDWWDWLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Costa Brava San Martin Formosa
HATHAT
GF total17926281442
GF avg1.30.71.02.01.01.5
GA total4131751823
GA avg0.31.00.70.41.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosta BravaSan Martin Formosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%46%79%61%
1.519%15%32%11%
2.58%4%21%7%
3.50%0%11%4%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosta BravaSan Martin Formosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets95149211
Failed to score167336

Penalties

MetricCosta BravaSan Martin Formosa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricCosta BravaSan Martin Formosa
Wins33
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-00-3
Biggest losses—2-00-14-1
Goals For3253
Goals Against1314

Model comparison

MetricCosta BravaSan Martin Formosa
Form45%55%
Att55%45%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Costa Brava or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.57 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Costa Brava = 1.29 (league 1.31), San Martin Formosa = 0.41 (league 0.73)

San Martin Formosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Costa Brava 0 18.2% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.5% 9.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 6.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 11.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1