Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Belvedere
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.18) 0.77 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 23.3% 16.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Progreso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool Montevideo 0 8.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpool MontevideoProgreso
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack64%64%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Montevideo Progreso
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%50%50%67%17%42%
Draws50%17%33%0%33%17%
Loses0%33%17%33%50%42%

Form: Liverpool Montevideo: DWWLWDDLWWDW • Progreso: LLLWLWDWDWWL

League goals

Metric Liverpool Montevideo Progreso
HATHAT
GF total1061611415
GF avg1.71.01.31.80.71.3
GA total66127714
GA avg1.01.01.01.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpool MontevideoProgreso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%58%83%50%
1.542%33%33%50%
2.50%8%8%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpool MontevideoProgreso
HATHAT
Clean sheets235336
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricLiverpool MontevideoProgreso
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLiverpool MontevideoProgreso
Wins22
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses—3-12-33-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricLiverpool MontevideoProgreso
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h60%40%
Goals62%38%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Liverpool Montevideo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Liverpool Montevideo = 1.74 (league 1.18), Progreso = 0.77 (league 0.91)

Progreso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool Montevideo 0 8.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.5% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% Ā· Draw 23.3% Ā· Away win 16.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1