Primera C — Argentina
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.15) 1.00 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.8% 27.7% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mercedes 0 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMercedesAtletico Atlas
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack22%28%
Defense78%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mercedes Atletico Atlas
HATHAT
Played131427151429
Wins38%36%37%40%21%31%
Draws23%14%19%20%29%24%
Loses38%50%44%40%50%45%

Form: Mercedes: WLLDLLWLDWWLLDWWLWLLWDLLDWW • Atletico Atlas: WDWWDLDDLLLWLLLWDLWLLWWLLDDWL

League goals

Metric Mercedes Atletico Atlas
HATHAT
GF total111324181634
GF avg0.80.90.91.21.11.2
GA total111829232649
GA avg0.81.31.11.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMercedesAtletico Atlas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%79%79%
1.522%30%28%52%
2.54%15%10%21%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMercedesAtletico Atlas
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410516
Failed to score5510336

Penalties

MetricMercedesAtletico Atlas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricMercedesAtletico Atlas
Wins22
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-11-45-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricMercedesAtletico Atlas
Form58%42%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h88%13%
Goals67%33%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mercedes or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ Dafabet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away2.48 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.72 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mercedes = 1.32 (league 1.15), Atletico Atlas = 1.00 (league 0.88)

Atletico Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mercedes 0 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.8% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1