Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 21:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.45)
1.51 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 26.0% | 56.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.9%
0 - 2
12.7%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Catarina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marcílio Dias | 0 | 11.2% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Santa Catarina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 55% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Santa Catarina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 100% | 83% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Marcílio Dias: WLWWDW • Santa Catarina: WWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Santa Catarina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marcílio Dias | Santa Catarina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Santa Catarina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Santa Catarina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Santa Catarina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-6 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marcílio Dias | Santa Catarina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Santa Catarina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marcílio Dias = 0.68 (league 1.45), Santa Catarina = 1.51 (league 1.07)
| Santa Catarina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marcílio Dias | 0 | 11.2% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.9% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 56.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1