Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 •
Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.36)
2.72 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 17.1% | 58.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Marcílio Dias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Catarina | 0 | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 90% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 19 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
Form: Santa Catarina: WWDWWWL • Marcílio Dias: WLWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Catarina | Marcílio Dias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 100% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 86% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 71% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 43% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 43% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Catarina | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 32% | 68% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Santa Catarina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Catarina = 1.47 (league 1.36), Marcílio Dias = 2.72 (league 1.11)
| Marcílio Dias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Catarina | 0 | 1.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 58.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1