Super League — Kenya
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.34) 0.05 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 46.7% 2.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
45.0%
1 - 0
33.7%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mwatate United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naivas 0 45.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaivasMwatate United
Played33
Form78%11%
Attack25%25%
Defense100%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 06 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naivas Mwatate United
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%100%67%

Form: Naivas: WWD • Mwatate United: LDL

League goals

Metric Naivas Mwatate United
HATHAT
GF total112202
GF avg1.00.50.71.00.00.7
GA total000516
GA avg0.00.00.02.51.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaivasMwatate United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%0%33%100%
1.50%0%33%67%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaivasMwatate United
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricNaivasMwatate United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNaivasMwatate United
Wins20
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-1——
Biggest losses——0-31-0
Goals For1120
Goals Against0031

Model comparison

MetricNaivasMwatate United
Form88%13%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h36%64%
Goals67%33%
Total60.3%40.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Naivas or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naivas = 0.75 (league 1.34), Mwatate United = 0.05 (league 0.80)

Mwatate United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naivas 0 45.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.7% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 46.7% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1