Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 22:00 • Complejo Rentistas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.05) 0.32 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.3% 19.0% 5.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.1%
2 - 0
19.6%
3 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Uruguay Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rentistas 0 11.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.1% 6.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.2% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRentistasUruguay Montevideo
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack21%5%
Defense63%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rentistas Uruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins47%33%40%27%13%20%
Draws40%13%27%13%13%13%
Loses13%53%33%60%73%67%

Form: Rentistas: DLWWDLDLWWDLDWWDDWWWLLLWWLWLDL • Uruguay Montevideo: LLWWWLWLWLLDDLLDLLLLLLLWLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Rentistas Uruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total20143413821
GF avg1.30.91.10.90.50.7
GA total92130262349
GA avg0.61.41.01.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRentistasUruguay Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%60%50%87%
1.537%27%13%40%
2.513%7%7%23%
3.50%7%0%10%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRentistasUruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets9312314
Failed to score56116915

Penalties

MetricRentistasUruguay Montevideo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricRentistasUruguay Montevideo
Wins33
Draws22
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-45-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2445

Model comparison

MetricRentistasUruguay Montevideo
Form80%20%
Att80%20%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rentistas or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ William Hill
Draw3.29 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rentistas = 1.86 (league 1.05), Uruguay Montevideo = 0.32 (league 0.95)

Uruguay Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rentistas 0 11.3% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.1% 6.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.6% 6.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.2% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 5.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1