Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.05) 1.78 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 23.2% 56.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Oriental
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Luz 0 6.5% 11.6% 10.4% 6.1% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.9% 5.2% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLa LuzOriental
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack32%41%
Defense86%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric La Luz Oriental
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins20%13%17%33%47%40%
Draws40%53%47%47%20%33%
Loses40%33%37%20%33%27%

Form: La Luz: DDLDLDLDDLLDDLDLWDLLLDWDLWDWWD • Oriental: DWWWDDWLDWWLDWLWDDLDLWLLDWWLDW

League goals

Metric La Luz Oriental
HATHAT
GF total141731161935
GF avg0.91.11.01.11.31.2
GA total202444131730
GA avg1.31.61.50.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLa LuzOriental
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%77%70%67%
1.527%43%37%27%
2.57%17%7%7%
3.53%10%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLa LuzOriental
HATHAT
Clean sheets4376410
Failed to score4610459

Penalties

MetricLa LuzOriental
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricLa LuzOriental
Wins23
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-00-4
Biggest losses0-44-02-33-0
Goals For2424
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricLa LuzOriental
Form52%48%
Att44%56%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h38%62%
Goals45%55%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Oriental

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Marathonbet
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): La Luz = 0.95 (league 1.05), Oriental = 1.78 (league 0.95)

Oriental
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Luz 0 6.5% 11.6% 10.4% 6.1% 2.7% 1.0%
1 6.2% 11.0% 9.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.9% 5.2% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 56.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1