Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 18:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.04) 1.59 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.0% 25.0% 56.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.0%
0 - 2
11.9%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Maldonado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerrito 0 9.4% 15.0% 11.9% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerritoDeportivo Maldonado
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack46%77%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerrito Deportivo Maldonado
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins33%7%20%47%40%43%
Draws13%40%27%20%33%27%
Loses53%53%53%33%27%30%

Form: Cerrito: LLLLLWLDLLLLWLWDDLLDWWDLLDDDWL • Deportivo Maldonado: WWLDWDDLDDWDLWWDDWWLWWLLLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Cerrito Deportivo Maldonado
HATHAT
GF total151227231538
GF avg1.00.80.91.51.01.3
GA total222648131225
GA avg1.51.71.60.90.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerritoDeportivo Maldonado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%63%57%
1.523%57%33%17%
2.50%23%17%7%
3.50%3%7%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerritoDeportivo Maldonado
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487613
Failed to score37106511

Penalties

MetricCerritoDeportivo Maldonado
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCerritoDeportivo Maldonado
Wins23
Draws32
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-16-11-3
Biggest losses0-35-20-23-0
Goals For2263
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricCerritoDeportivo Maldonado
Form40%60%
Att38%63%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total34.0%66.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Maldonado

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 10Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerrito = 0.77 (league 1.04), Deportivo Maldonado = 1.59 (league 0.94)

Deportivo Maldonado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerrito 0 9.4% 15.0% 11.9% 6.3% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.6% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 2.8% 4.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.0% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 56.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1