Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 21:00 •
Estadio Yankel Rosenthal
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.25)
0.53 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.3% | 15.7% | 7.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.6%
1 - 0
13.6%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| CD Motagua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CD Marathon | 0 | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CD Marathon | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 71% | 79% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CD Marathon | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 67% | 38% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 17% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 13% | 7% | 17% | 33% | 25% |
Form: CD Marathon: WWLWDDWDWDDWDW • CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | CD Marathon | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 16 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CD Marathon | CD Motagua | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 50% | 83% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 21% | 58% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 7% | 42% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CD Marathon | CD Motagua | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | CD Marathon | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | CD Marathon | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-3 | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CD Marathon | CD Motagua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
Advice: Double chance : CD Marathon or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CD Marathon = 2.29 (league 1.25), CD Motagua = 0.53 (league 0.96)
| CD Motagua | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CD Marathon | 0 | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.6% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.3% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 7.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1