Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 01:30 •
Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas
Expected Goals
4.05 (league 1.25)
1.36 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% |
best score tips
4 - 1
6.8%
3 - 1
6.7%
5 - 1
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Génesis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olancho | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olancho | Génesis |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 79% | 50% |
| Defense | 43% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olancho | Génesis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 57% | 17% | 38% | 29% | 0% | 15% |
| Draws | 29% | 67% | 46% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 14% | 17% | 15% | 43% | 83% | 62% |
Form: Olancho: LWDWWDDWDWDDL • Génesis: LWLLLWLDDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Olancho | Génesis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 11 | 18 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olancho | Génesis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 92% | 85% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 31% | 31% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 8% | 8% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olancho | Génesis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olancho | Génesis |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olancho | Génesis |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-2 | 1-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olancho | Génesis |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Olancho or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Olancho = 4.05 (league 1.25), Génesis = 1.36 (league 0.96)
| Génesis | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olancho | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.9% · Draw 9.2% · Away win 7.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1