Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 01:30 • Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 1.25) 2.07 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 15.2% 20.0%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.9%
3 - 1
5.7%
2 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Victoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Motagua 0 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
2 2.5% 5.1% 5.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
3 2.8% 5.7% 5.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.3% 4.8% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7%
5 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCD MotaguaVictoria
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack44%33%
Defense61%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CD Motagua Victoria
HATHAT
Played67137714
Wins33%43%38%0%14%7%
Draws50%14%31%14%14%14%
Loses17%43%31%86%71%79%

Form: CD Motagua: LLLDWWWDWDWDL • Victoria: LLLLLLWLLLDDLL

League goals

Metric CD Motagua Victoria
HATHAT
GF total1310236612
GF avg2.21.41.80.90.90.9
GA total13922171330
GA avg2.21.31.72.41.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCD MotaguaVictoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%43%100%
1.554%62%36%71%
2.538%31%7%36%
3.58%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCD MotaguaVictoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score213448

Penalties

MetricCD MotaguaVictoria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCD MotaguaVictoria
Wins31
Draws12
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-30-3—1-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-43-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricCD MotaguaVictoria
Form80%20%
Att57%43%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total70.7%29.3%

Advice: Double chance : CD Motagua or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.00 @ 1xBet
Away8.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 1xBet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CD Motagua = 3.36 (league 1.25), Victoria = 2.07 (league 0.96)

Victoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
CD Motagua 0 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
2 2.5% 5.1% 5.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
3 2.8% 5.7% 5.9% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
4 2.3% 4.8% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7%
5 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1