Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Carlos Miranda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.25) 1.56 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.5% 18.3% 22.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
7.1%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético Choloma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Génesis 0 1.6% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.2% 6.5% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.3% 8.3% 6.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.9% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGénesisAtlético Choloma
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack40%45%
Defense35%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Génesis Atlético Choloma
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%0%14%43%0%21%
Draws29%29%29%14%14%14%
Loses43%71%57%43%86%64%

Form: Génesis: LWLLLWLDDDLLLD • Atlético Choloma: LDLLWLLLWLLWLD

League goals

Metric Génesis Atlético Choloma
HATHAT
GF total8101813619
GF avg1.11.41.31.90.91.4
GA total121527182038
GA avg1.72.11.92.62.92.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGénesisAtlético Choloma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%93%57%100%
1.536%57%57%71%
2.57%36%7%50%
3.50%7%7%14%
4.50%0%7%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGénesisAtlético Choloma
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score112246

Penalties

MetricGénesisAtlético Choloma
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricGénesisAtlético Choloma
Wins11
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-15-1
Biggest losses0-34-32-76-2
Goals For2352
Goals Against3476

Model comparison

MetricGénesisAtlético Choloma
Form33%67%
Att47%53%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlético Choloma and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 1xBet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away4.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Marathonbet
No2.38 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Génesis = 2.55 (league 1.25), Atlético Choloma = 1.56 (league 0.98)

Atlético Choloma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Génesis 0 1.6% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.2% 6.5% 5.1% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.3% 8.3% 6.5% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.1% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.9% 4.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 22.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1