Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.28)
0.28 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3% | 24.7% | 6.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.4%
2 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Merw | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şagadam | 0 | 16.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.0% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Şagadam | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 25% | 17% |
| Defense | 58% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Şagadam | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 50% | 36% | 43% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Draws | 20% | 45% | 33% | 27% | 30% | 29% |
| Loses | 30% | 18% | 24% | 64% | 60% | 62% |
Form: Şagadam: WWDLLDWDWWWLDWWLDLDDW • Merw: LWDLLLLDLWLDLLLDLLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Şagadam | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Şagadam | Merw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 57% | 29% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 29% | 10% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 14% | 5% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Şagadam | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Şagadam | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Şagadam | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Şagadam | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 74.2% | 25.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Şagadam or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Şagadam = 1.50 (league 1.28), Merw = 0.28 (league 1.41)
| Merw | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şagadam | 0 | 16.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.0% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.3% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 6.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1