Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.28)
0.37 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.9% | 33.5% | 12.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.3%
0 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merw | 0 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.3% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Merw | Köpetdag Aşgabat |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 13% |
| Attack | 8% | 31% |
| Defense | 54% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Merw | Köpetdag Aşgabat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| Loses | 64% | 64% | 64% | 64% | 82% | 73% |
Form: Merw: LWDLLLLDLWLDLLLDLLLDDL • Köpetdag Aşgabat: LLLLDLLLWLLDLLLWLLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Merw | Köpetdag Aşgabat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 21 | 31 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Merw | Köpetdag Aşgabat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 27% | 68% | 41% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 9% | 41% | 14% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 18% | 5% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Merw | Köpetdag Aşgabat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Merw | Köpetdag Aşgabat |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Merw | Köpetdag Aşgabat |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 7-0 | 0-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Merw | Köpetdag Aşgabat |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Merw or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Merw = 1.09 (league 1.28), Köpetdag Aşgabat = 0.37 (league 1.41)
| Köpetdag Aşgabat | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Merw | 0 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.3% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 12.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1